Nacional vs Estrela

Estrela edged out Nacional 2-3 at the Estádio da Madeira on Sunday, 30 August 2026, in a Primeira Liga clash that swung back and forth all afternoon. The hosts matched their visitors well early on and went in level at half-time, 1-1, after a scrappy opening period. Nacional shaded the ball possession slightly at 51% to 49%, but it was Estrela who found the extra edge when it mattered, converting their chances more clinically in the second half to nick all three points on the road. Nacional actually had more shots on target, 5 to 4, but couldn't turn that into a share of the spoils, while Estrela's greater attacking volume, 14 attempts to 10, told in the end. Abraham Marcus was the difference-maker, picking up a well-deserved Man of the Match award with an 8.3 rating for his part in the winning goal. It's a result that will sting Nacional given how close the corner count was, 4-3 in their favour, but Estrela leave Madeira with the points and plenty of confidence heading into their next fixture.

Estrela beat Nacional 2-3 at Estádio da Madeira, and the numbers from the match back up how the game played out. Even without the extra share of possession, which finished 51% in favour of Nacional, Estrela made the most of the chances that mattered and did enough to see the game out. The shot count told a similar story, with 10 attempts from Nacional against 14 from Estrela over the course of the game. Nacional had their moments and did not make it easy from start to finish, but ultimately came up short on the day. Small margins like this one tend to add up over a season, and results such as this are often what separates teams in the table further down the line. Here is a closer look at exactly how the two sides compared, statistically.